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First: happy 2009 for you and all your friends and loved ones! Of course, in good health,
and if you can get some profit as well it will be a good year for you! Do you expect any
picks on this weekends FA Cup?
Torquay, have drawn their last five matches and are winless in their last eleven.
Northampton, have won four and drawn two of the last six matches (including one draw at form team Bury) which has lifted them into a mid-table position.
I think a confident Northampton can take advantage of a nervy Torquay team who are getting desperate in their search for a win. The DNB option ensures a return of stake should the draw be the outcome (which cannot be ruled out).
Pick: Lincoln (+0.25) Result: 3-1 Stake: 6/10 Odds: 2.00 Bookmaker: 188betvCash: Yes
Posted: Oct 31, 2009, 06:14
APOLOGIES FOR SHORT ANALYSIS DUE TO LACK OF TIME AT THE MOMENT!
Briefly, Morecambe have only one victory all season and are shipping goals at the moment. Sammy McIlroy has been pointing to the high number of draws they have and looking to convert from one point to three - recent evidence shows they are getting the balance wrong and leaving themselves more exposed at the back.
Lincoln's new manager Chris Sutton is showing signs of turning around the season at Sincil Bank. His side have conceded just one goal in the last four games - though the lack of goals scored all season remains a worry.
Lincoln can get something today at Morecambe, the +0.25 offers a return on the draw which makes the evens price available to be very tasty.
Team News: Stoke goalkeeper Thomas Sorensen is expected to return in place of Steve Simonsen after last weekend's late withdrawl at Tottenham. Defender Robert Huth is suspended.
Wolves striker Stefan Maierhofer can return to boss Mick McCarthy's squad as he has served a suspensionas well as on-loan Chelsea defender Michael Mancienne who has recover ed. The big boost for Wolves is that Michael Kightly is back and may play the full 90 minutes today after last weeks appearance v Aston Villa.
Form: Stoke used the mid-week Carling Cup tie to play some squad players and were soundly thrashed 4-0 at Portsmouth. The previous Saturday, they showed their newly-found durability at Tottenham - although they had fortune to win, their defence has shown yet again how difficult they are to break down. Stoke's only losses this season have been against Man Utd, Liverpool and Chelsea so their form is consistent.
Wolves have drawn their last two games, a useful home draw v local rivals and away at the struggling Everton. Overall they have won just one away from home this season, their first away match which was at Wigan.
Analysis: Stoke and Wolves offer contrasting styles, Wolves (to their credit) have played attacking football everywhere they go. Stoke rely upon a well-organised defence, good set plays and a high tempo to upset their opponents.
Wolves are the type of opponent that Stoke like, teams that are open and attacking, with their solid base at the back and the roar of the home-crowd I cannot see Wolves surviving in such hostile conditions. The price for a home victory is very inviting and should not be missed!
It's the Monday night game at The Madejski Stadium as The Royals take on The Foxes.
The bookies make Reading the favourites in this game – which is a surprise if you look at their league positions and form.
Reading are in a woeful run – just one win from their last eight league outings and just three draws and three defeats to show from their six home outings so far this season. Leicester are making steady progress in their first season back in The Championship with just one defeat in their last six league games and their away record is an unremarkable W1 D4 L1.
As for team news Reading will be without experienced defender Ivar Ingimarsson, who is suspended after his sending off at OPR last Tuesday. However, left-back Ryan Bertrand is available again. Darren O'Dea or Alex Pearce will be likely to deputise for Ingimarsson.
For Leicester, there are no injury concerns, however following Paul Gallacher's two goal haul in their last outing it is possible he may be promoted from the sub bench.
Leicester are a patient team and I can see them blunting an anxious Reading team before moving on to threaten more in the second half (12 of Leicester's 15 goals this season have been scored in the second half). The DNB bet is appealing (at around 2.15) – but as Leicester have had a high number of draws this season I am going to go for the + 0.25 option to make sure of a return if the match finishes level.
It looks like old Pierre has gone crazy, Portsmouth are marooned at the bottom of the Premiership and have won only once this season.
But indulge me please, Portsmouth have improved greatly in the last three games – a win at Wolves sandwiched between two unlucky defeats against Tottenham and Everton (both teams I expect to finish in the Top 8 this season)
As for The Tigers, they have one victory in the last 6 Premiership games – and only 3 league victories during the whole of 2009.
Team news is better for Hull as they are hoping Jimmy Bullard and the influential Nick Barmby will be able to start for them . Pompey will have to start without the suspended Michael Brown but can call upon the returning Jamie O'Hara.
This will be an important match as both teams can expect to be in the relegation mix at the end of the season. I think Portsmouth can snatch this in front of an edgy KC Stadium crowd – but due to their poor goal scoring record so far this season, I think it is prudent to look no further than the level ball offering.
Barnsley have picked up form since the arrival of Mark Robins, especially at Oakwell where they have strung together 3 wins on the trot. They have improved in defence as well, losing to the only goal in the last minute at Nottingham Forest in mid-week, which followed up their clean sheet at Doncaster last week (won 1-0)
Bristol City have lost only once in the last nine league games and that must be respected. However, they have not won all season away from Ashton Gate. Indeed, they have only scored one goal in their last five away trips.
Both teams are likely to be unchanged from their midweek matches though Barnsley may have Bobby Hassell back available and Bristol City may consider a return for the excellent Ivan Sproule (after recent injury) to aid their goalscoring efforts away from home.
The Robins have failed to score on their last 3 visits to Barnsley, so my pick is for a home win. I feel the -0.25AH is a better vlaue bet though as it offers some protection against the draw (I can't rule out the 0-0 here).
Forest are the form team of the division with 5 straight victories – conceding only one goal during this run. Palace lost at Leicester this week 2-0 bringing an end to an unbeaten run of three games themselves.
Forest have a good recent record at Selhurst Park, last season they won 2-1 and have restricted Palace to only one win in the last five meetings here.
The big risk to this pick is that Forest have severe problems up front, Dexter Blackstock is out and both Nathan Tyson and Rob Earnshaw are doubtful to complete 90 minutes.
Crystal Palace will give a late fitness test to the ever-improving Victor Moses, otherwise they have no other injury worries. Darren Ambrose came on as a sub at Leicester on Tuesday and as such is pushing for a start here.
Nottingham are the only club in the Championship who are unbeaten away this season, and I don't expect this to change – so my recommended pick here is + 0.25AH.
Henri Camara is expected to go straight into United's injury-hit squad after being signed following a trial, but Darius Henderson (ankle) is a doubt.
Jamie Ward, Lee Williamson, Derek Geary, Gary Naysmith, James Harper, Nick Montgomery, Andrew Davies and keeper Paddy Kenny are all unavailable.
Cardiff City are without full-back Kevin McNaughton (calf) and on-loan Manchester City striker Kelvin Etuhu is still sidelined with ankle ligament damage. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The Blades go into this game without a win for five games (three losses away, two draws at home) and are desperate for a change around in fortunes. They were outclassed in mid-week and now manager Kevin Blackwell is under pressure.
Meanwhile Cardiff have climbed up to 3rd in the table and are the highest scorers in the division (26). Three victories and a draw in the last four should ensure their confidence is high.
The only scrap of comfort for Sheffield is that historically Cardiff have struggled to beat them – only once in their last six tries.
The temptation is to go for a victory for the visiting Bluebirds here, but Sheffield (despite their problems) are still unbeaten at home. Consequently I feel the best value is in the +0.25AH that is on offer.
Blackpool boss Ian Holloway is set to name an unchanged line-up.
Danny Coid (fractured tibia) is still sidelined, as are forwards Daniel Nardiello (hip), Gary Taylor-Fletcher (ankle) and Stephen McPhee (knee).
United's injury crisis has deepened with the news Andrew Davies will miss out after aggravating a knee problem.
Jamie Ward, Richard Cresswell, Lee Williamson, Derek Geary, Gary Naysmith, James Harper, Nick Montgomery and Paddy Kenny are all unavailable. MATCH PREVIEW
Bloomfield Road is a fortress for Blackpool, who have racked up four consecutive home victories and are having a great season so far under boss Ian Holloway.
Saturday's win against Holloway's former club Plymouth took the Tangerines up to fifth place and beating Sheffield United would add to their growing reputation. It would also be their first league win against them since 1980.<
The Blades are hovering in mid-table, have injury problems and were poor on Saturday at Scunthorpe, where they lost 3-1.
That result left boss Kevin Blackwell still waiting for his 100th win as a manager and continued a worrying recent run which has seen United win just one of their last six matches.
Well the form and team news means that it is self-explanatory why the pick has to be Blackpool. The pricing for this match up is surely wrong - the bookies are following the team's reputations rather than their recent form. Better than 6/4 is available for a Blackpool win, but I have gone for the -0.25 AH price as this offers some cover in the event of a draw (3 of the last 4 matches between these teams have ended in a draw).
QPR had a terrific win at the weekend, 4-0 over promotion hopefuls Preston. This follows up a 5-2 victory in the previous home match v Barnsley.
Reading went down 3-1 at West Brom at the weekend so are desperate for some points at Loftus Rd
The team news is that Ben Watson is available again for QPR (after suspension) - a player that is very highly rated at this level. There is some concern that Leigterwood may not be available due to flu.
For Reading there are defensive worries, both Bertrand and Mills are doubtful for the clash.
Current form leans strongly to QPR and so I am surprised that they are available at above 1.9. This price should not be missed!
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-6 
Eng. League Two
Bookmaker: 
+4.8 
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